Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-26 0.000077 0.000081 0.000085 0.000089 0.000094 0.000098 0.000104
2025-02-02 0.000071 0.000077 0.000083 0.000089 0.000097 0.000106 0.000116
2025-02-09 0.000068 0.000075 0.000082 0.000091 0.000101 0.000113 0.000128
2025-02-16 0.000066 0.000074 0.000082 0.000092 0.000105 0.000120 0.000140
2025-02-23 0.000066 0.000075 0.000084 0.000097 0.000112 0.000132 0.000159
2025-03-02 0.000063 0.000071 0.000081 0.000094 0.000111 0.000133 0.000163
2025-03-09 0.000059 0.000068 0.000078 0.000091 0.000109 0.000131 0.000165
2025-03-16 0.000057 0.000066 0.000077 0.000091 0.000110 0.000135 0.000173
2025-03-23 0.000057 0.000066 0.000077 0.000092 0.000113 0.000142 0.000187
2025-03-30 0.000055 0.000064 0.000075 0.000091 0.000113 0.000143 0.000192
2025-04-06 0.000052 0.000061 0.000072 0.000088 0.000109 0.000140 0.000190
2025-04-13 0.000050 0.000058 0.000069 0.000084 0.000106 0.000136 0.000186
2025-04-20 0.000047 0.000056 0.000066 0.000081 0.000102 0.000132 0.000184
2025-04-27 0.000046 0.000055 0.000066 0.000081 0.000104 0.000138 0.000196
2025-05-04 0.000046 0.000055 0.000066 0.000083 0.000107 0.000145 0.000214
2025-05-11 0.000045 0.000054 0.000066 0.000084 0.000111 0.000153 0.000233
2025-05-18 0.000046 0.000055 0.000068 0.000088 0.000118 0.000167 0.000268
2025-05-25 0.000044 0.000053 0.000066 0.000086 0.000116 0.000166 0.000271
2025-06-01 0.000042 0.000052 0.000064 0.000083 0.000113 0.000163 0.000270
2025-06-08 0.000041 0.000051 0.000063 0.000083 0.000114 0.000167 0.000283
2025-06-15 0.000041 0.000051 0.000064 0.000084 0.000117 0.000176 0.000311
2025-06-22 0.000040 0.000050 0.000063 0.000083 0.000116 0.000176 0.000319
2025-06-29 0.000039 0.000048 0.000060 0.000080 0.000113 0.000171 0.000312